AAON Valuation

AAON Stock  USD 100.95  0.15  0.15%   
At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. AAON Inc shows a prevailing Real Value of $104.91 per share. The current price of the entity is $100.95. Our model approximates the value of AAON Inc from examining the entity fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.04 %, profit margin of 0.08 %, and Shares Outstanding of 81.63 M as well as evaluating its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting AAON's valuation include:
Price Book
9.6757
Enterprise Value
8.7 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
41.8753
Price Sales
6.2734
Forward PE
51.0204
Fairly Valued
Today
100.95
Please note that AAON's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of AAON Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing AAON's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since AAON is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of AAON Stock. However, AAON's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  100.95 Real  104.91 Target  115.25 Hype  101.05 Naive  106.34
The intrinsic value of AAON's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence AAON's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
104.91
Real Value
107.53
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of AAON Inc helps investors to forecast how AAON stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of AAON more accurately as focusing exclusively on AAON's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.480.500.51
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.43101.05103.67
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.240.240.24
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
104.88115.25127.93
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use AAON's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of AAON's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against AAON's closest peers.

AAON Cash

15,295

AAON Total Value Analysis

AAON Inc is presently estimated to have valuation of 8.73 B with market capitalization of 8.25 B, debt of 170.96 M, and cash on hands of 17.65 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the AAON fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
8.73 B
8.25 B
170.96 M
17.65 M

AAON Investor Information

About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 26th of November 2025. AAON Inc had 3:2 split on the 17th of August 2023. Based on the analysis of AAON's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, AAON Inc may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.10.16
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Total Cash From Operating Activities232.5 M221.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income252.5 M240.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

AAON Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. AAON has an asset utilization ratio of 102.16 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $1.02 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that AAON Inc is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

AAON Profitability Analysis

Considering AAON's profitability and operating efficiency indicators, AAON Inc may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess AAON's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1990-03-31
Previous Quarter
15.5 M
Current Value
30.8 M
Quarterly Volatility
11.1 M
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
As of the 25th of February 2026, Gross Profit is likely to grow to about 479.5 M, while Pretax Profit Margin is likely to drop 0.10.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.190.3
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Profit Margin0.06940.13
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.10.16
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Pretax Profit Margin0.10.15
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Return On Assets0.110.13
Fairly Down
Very volatile
Return On Equity0.260.24
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
For AAON profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of AAON Inc to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well AAON utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between AAON's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of AAON over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

AAON Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of AAON is estimated to be 0.496 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.4825 to a high of 0.5125. AAON's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.21. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for AAON Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
AAON is projected to generate 0.496 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. AAON earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected AAON EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on AAON's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as AAON, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

AAON Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of AAON's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of AAON is estimated to be 0.496 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.4825 to a high of 0.5125. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for AAON Inc is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.48
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.496
0.51
Highest

AAON Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of AAON's value are higher than the current market price of the AAON stock. In this case, investors may conclude that AAON is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and AAON's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2026Current EPS (TTM)
571.55%
0.0
0.496
1.21

AAON Ownership Allocation

AAON holds a total of 81.63 Million outstanding shares. The majority of AAON Inc outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in AAON Inc to benefit from reduced commissions. Thereupon, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in AAON. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of AAON Inc as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that nearly eight million three hundred eighteen thousand five hundred eleven invesors are currently shorting AAON expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

AAON Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.2 B. Net Income was 168.56 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 353.57 M.

AAON Past Distributions to stockholders

About AAON Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of AAON Inc. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of AAON Inc based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing AAON's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of AAON's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of AAON. We calculate exposure to AAON's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of AAON's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit456.7 M479.5 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.15  0.10 
Operating Profit Margin 0.16  0.10 
Net Profit Margin 0.13  0.07 
Gross Profit Margin 0.30  0.19 
AAON's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether AAON's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of AAON can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of AAON represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of AAON, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

AAON Dividends Analysis For Valuation

At this time, AAON's Dividends Paid is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of February 2026, Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to grow to 0.29, while Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0. . At this time, AAON's Retained Earnings are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 25th of February 2026, Price Earnings Ratio is likely to grow to 53.75, while Retained Earnings Total Equity is likely to drop about 248.3 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid30 M31.5 M
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.18  0.29 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.00  1.93 
There are various types of dividends AAON can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of AAON shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from AAON Inc directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When AAON pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of AAON by the value of the dividends paid out.

AAON Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding83.6 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.686
Forward Price Earnings51.0204

AAON Current Valuation Indicators

AAON's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final AAON's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as AAON, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use AAON's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes AAON's worth.
When determining whether AAON Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AAON's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Aaon Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Aaon Inc Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in AAON Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
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Will Building Products sector continue expanding? Could AAON diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AAON. If investors know AAON will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every AAON data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.69)
Dividend Share
0.38
Earnings Share
1.21
Revenue Per Share
16.142
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.168
Investors evaluate AAON Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating AAON's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause AAON's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that AAON's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AAON represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, AAON's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.